The Liberals maintain a six-point lead over the Conservatives in by Nanos Research for Â鶹´«Ã½ and the Globe and Mail.

According to the latest numbers, which were released on Oct. 17:

  • The Liberals are at 37.0 per cent support nationally
  • The Conservatives are at 30.7 per cent support nationally
  • The NDP is at 22.6 per cent support nationally
  • The Green Party is at 4.7 per cent support nationally

Respondents were asked "If a federal election were held today, could you please rank your top two current local voting preferences?"

Nanos nightly tracking Oct. 17

Nightly tracking by Nanos Research for Â鶹´«Ã½ and the Globe and Mail, released Oct. 17.

Accessible vote

When asked a series of independent questions about each federal party:

  • 56.0 per cent of Canadians said they would consider voting for the Liberals
  • 41.2 per cent said they would consider the NDP
  • 39.7 per cent said they would consider the Conservatives
  • 22.3 per cent said they would consider the Greens
  • In Quebec, 31.6 per cent said they would consider the Bloc Quebecois

Poll methodology

A national dual frame (land and cell) random telephone survey is conducted nightly by Nanos Research throughout the campaign using live agents. Each evening a new group of 400 eligible voters are interviewed. An additional 400 interviews were conducted Friday.

The daily tracking figures are based on a three-day rolling sample composed of 1,600 interviews. To update the tracking, a new day of interviewing is added and the oldest day dropped. The margin of error for a survey of 1,600 respondents is ±2.6 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.

Sample Enhancement

Readers should note that on Friday the nightly sample was doubled to 800 live interviews with a three-day rolling average of 1,600 voters (400 on Wednesday, 400 on Thursday and 800 on Friday).

at Nanos Research

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