More than 100,000 children in Ethiopia's embattled Tigray region could face the most extreme and life-threatening form of malnutrition in the next year, the United Nations children's agency warned on Friday, as humanitarian aid remains blocked from the region of some 6 million people.
The UN estimate, a tenfold increase over the usual caseload in Tigray, is based on 鈥渆ssentially the scenario we're seeing now, in which the conflict escalates and food access is restricted,鈥 Marixie Mercado with UNICEF's emergency response team told The Associated Press.
The warning comes as high-level officials from the UN and United States visit Ethiopia over the next several days to press the government to lift what the U.S. has described as a 鈥渟iege鈥 of Tigray and as some 200 food-laden UN trucks are stuck on the only remaining road into the region.
The world's worst hunger crisis in a decade is unfolding in Tigray, where the U.S. says up to 900,000 people now face famine conditions and international food security experts say the crucial planting season 鈥渉as largely been missed鈥 because of the war.
The UNICEF estimate, based on screenings of more than 430,000 children during the nine-month conflict, comes after a rare visit to two districts in Tigray that had been 鈥渧irtually inaccessible,鈥 Gijet and Wajirat. While the AP has reported on scores of people dying of starvation in another inaccessible Tigray district, Mercado said she did not hear of any starvation deaths on her visit.
But she warned of 鈥渉orrifying numbers of acutely malnourished鈥 people and expressed frustration as food, fuel, cash and other supplies are in short supply. While access inside Tigray has improved after a dramatic turn in the war in June as Ethiopian soldiers withdrew and the government declared a unilateral cease-fire, the UN has said aid workers are running out of the means to help.
鈥淵ou can't bring services to people without fuel,鈥 an exasperated Mercado said, adding that during the visit to the previously inaccessible districts 鈥渨e were just overwhelmed by the numbers of mothers and children who showed up and desperately wanted some help.鈥
UNICEF also said screening data shows that 47% of all pregnant and breastfeeding women in Tigray are acutely malnourished, meaning more risk to both mothers and children.
Ethiopia's government has blamed the aid blockade on the resurgent Tigray forces who have retaken much of the region and crossed into the neighboring Amhara and Afar regions, but a senior official with the U.S. Agency for International Development this week told the AP that is 鈥100% not the case.鈥 USAID administrator Samantha Power is set to visit Ethiopia next week to press for access.
Meanwhile, new UN humanitarian chief Martin Griffiths is visiting Tigray as part of a six-day tour in Ethiopia meant to spotlight the crisis, while there is little sign of negotiations in sight between Ethiopia's government and the Tigray forces who had long dominated Ethiopia's government and military before being sidelined by Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed.
A UN humanitarian update on Friday spelled out some of the latest aid challenges, including harassment and intimidation: No aid convoys have reached Tigray since July 12, even as up to 600 supply-laden trucks are needed weekly. Aid workers on the first UN passenger flight to Tigray on July 22 were 鈥渆xtensively searched鈥 and not allowed to bring some essential medicines. And no such flight has received government clearance since then.
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