When the Supreme Court handed down its overturning Roe v. Wade in late June, Democrats had a prediction.
"This fall, Roe is on the ballot," declared in a defiant speech from the White House just hours after the ruling.
Not so fast.
With just three weeks until , it remains to be seen whether Democrats' in campaigns throughout the country will be enough to help them hold onto Congress in the face of voters' economic concerns.
The good news for Democrats is that the high court's ruling seems to have galvanized some voters.
For example, 50% of registered voters in a recent said the Supreme Court's decision has made them more motivated to vote next month -- up 7 percentage points from July, when the same question was asked just a few weeks after the ruling came down.
About half of voters in states with full abortion bans also said their states' abortion laws have made them more motivated to vote.
Women are especially motivated by the Supreme Court decision, the new survey found: About 3 in 5 women ages 18 to 49 who said they are more likely to head to the polls next month cited the overturning of Roe as a motivating factor.
The bad news for Democrats is that a found that the economy remains the central focus for voters, with 90% of them saying it was extremely or very important to their vote. Fewer -- 72% -- said the same about abortion.
The economy and inflation take on added importance in competitive congressional districts. While 59% of registered voters nationally called the economy extremely important to their vote, that rose to 67% in those districts, and the share calling inflation that important rose from 56% to 64%.
That's bad news for Democrats because those issues -- besides being a big part of GOP messaging on the airwaves -- are omnipresent in the news right now too.
A report released on Thursday showed that consumer prices came in hotter than expected in September, punishing Americans and giving license to the Federal Reserve to maintain its pace of historic rate hikes.
On a monthly basis, overall consumer prices increased by 0.4% from August, according to the data released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Economists had projected that the monthly figure would rise by 0.2%.
On an annual basis, prices rose by 8.2% in September. That's a slower increase than the 8.3% rise seen in August, but still a faster pace than economists had projected for last month.
The ugly news for Democrats is what could lie ahead in the House. While , most nonpartisan analysts acknowledge Republicans are in a good position to flip the lower chamber, with that the chances for a "red wave" should not be written off.
Nationwide, voters are closely split on the generic ballot -- with 46% saying they'd vote for the Democratic candidate in their district and 44% that they would vote for the Republican candidate, according to the most recent CNN Poll of Polls average measuring which party's candidate voters would support in their own House district. (The Poll of Polls includes the six most recent national polls measuring the views of registered or likely voters.)
But in competitive congressional districts, Democratic support among likely voters dips and preferences tilt toward the Republicans, according to conducted by SSRS: 48% of likely voters in that group preferred the Republican candidate, 43% the Democrat.
Taken together, it's clear that Roe is indeed on the ballot. It's less clear that it will be the decisive boon Democrats hoped for.
Analysis by Paul LeBlanc, CNN
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A team of tornado experts are investigating a path of damage through Wellington County.
Canada has announced changes to their visitor visa policies, effectively ending the automatic issuance of 10-year multiple-entry visas, according to new rules outlined by Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship Canada.
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Across Canada, dignitaries marked Remembrance Day by laying wreaths at ceremonies, school children sang in the late fall chill and veterans recalled the horrors of battle.
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U.S. President Joe Biden and Vice-President Kamala Harris on Monday made their first joint appearance since her U.S. selection loss when they observed Veterans Day together by laying a wreath at the Tomb of the Unknown Soldier.
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Timmins-James Bay MP Charlie Angus was among approximately 120 people who gathered Sunday night for a candlelight vigil near the scene of a vicious attack against a 16-year-old in Cobalt.
A team of tornado experts are investigating a path of damage through Wellington County.
A government-funded report released to Â鶹´«Ã½ highlights 'systemic racism' against dozens of Black executives within the federal public service, including allegations of abuse, violence and harassment that, in some instances, led to suicide.
The federal government is urging both sides in the British Columbia port dispute to return to the table after mediated talks broke off on Saturday, the first of three scheduled days.
U.S. President Joe Biden and Vice-President Kamala Harris on Monday made their first joint appearance since her U.S. selection loss when they observed Veterans Day together by laying a wreath at the Tomb of the Unknown Soldier.
Israel’s new foreign minister said that there has been 'certain progress' in efforts to end the fighting with Lebanon’s Hezbollah.
A Spirit Airlines plane was hit by gunfire Monday over Haiti’s capital Port-au-Prince, according to diplomatic source in the country, resulting in what the airline described as “minor injuries†to one of its crew members.
New York City Mayor Eric Adams is seeking to move up the start of his trial on corruption and bribery charges so he can focus on his campaign for reelection this spring.
A man accused of killing a person and staging it as a fatal bear attack in Tennessee was taken into custody in South Carolina over the weekend on murder charges, in what authorities described as a plot to steal the victim’s identity.
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Bernadett 'Bett'†Szabó, a 19-year-old Hungarian sex worker, was murdered in the Dutch capital in 2009. Now, more than 15 years after her death, police are hoping to uncover new information about her killing.
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The company confirms it will open the new Chipotle at 5671 Hazeldean Road on Thursday, in the former location of Benny & Co.
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Across Canada, dignitaries marked Remembrance Day by laying wreaths at ceremonies, school children sang in the late fall chill and veterans recalled the horrors of battle.
If Earth's astronomical observatories were to pick up a signal from outer space, it would need an all-hands-on-deck effort to decipher the extraterrestrial message. A father-daughter team of citizen scientists recently deciphered the message. Its meaning, however, remains a mystery.
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A team of tornado experts are investigating a path of damage through Wellington County.
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A Barrie man is accused of being at the centre of an alleged $2.2 million stolen used car scheme.
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Representatives of the Windsor Veterans Memorial Services Committee, military representatives, wreath bearers, government officials, and members of the public will attend the Cenotaph at City Hall Square for the outdoor service.
Windsor Paralympic champion, Danielle Campo, has been crowned the number one Inspirational Speaker of the Year for 2024 at the Inspirational Speaking Finals.
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A B.C. woman who stole more than $14,000 in volunteer-raised funds that were supposed to be spent on school supplies and programs – including hot meals for vulnerable kids – won't spend any time in jail.
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The Lethbridge Hurricanes broke open a close game with three goals in the first two minutes of the third period as they defeated the Warriors 7-3 in a game played Friday night in Moose Jaw.
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Timmins-James Bay MP Charlie Angus was among approximately 120 people who gathered Sunday night for a candlelight vigil near the scene of a vicious attack against a 16-year-old in Cobalt.
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On Thursday morning, Dave Penny officially ended a suggested hundred-day isolation period that followed his diagnosis and stem cell treatment for non-Hodgkin's Lymphoma. On Thursday night, Penny returned to a stage at a downtown St. John's bar, regaling a small crowd with songs and stories with a distinctive Newfoundland flair.
A Memorial University scientist says the mysterious white blobs washing up on Newfoundland beaches are actually gobs of plastic -- and they need to be cleaned up.
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