The by Nanos Research for Â鶹´«Ã½ and The Globe and Mail completed on the holiday weekend has the Liberals in the lead at 35.7 per cent.
Tracking released on Oct. 12 shows:
• The Liberals at 35.7 per cent support nationally
• The Conservatives at 28.9 per cent support nationally
• The NDP at 24.3 per cent support nationally
• The Greens at 4.8 per cent support nationally
Respondents were asked: "If a federal election were held today, could you please rank your top two current local voting preferences?"
Nightly tracking by Nanos Research for Â鶹´«Ã½ and the Globe and Mail, released Oct. 12.
The latest regional numbers:
• Atlantic Canada - Liberals (52.9 per cent), NDP (21.3 per cent), Conservatives (16.5 per cent), Greens (9.3), based on 110 decided individuals. A sample of 110 respondents is accurate ±9.5 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.
• Quebec – NDP (32.7 per cent), Liberals (28.7 per cent), Bloc Quebecois (23.2 per cent), Conservatives (14.0 per cent), Greens (0.8), based on 268 decided individuals. A sample of 268 respondents is accurate ±6.1 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.
• Ontario – Liberals (45.2 per cent), Conservatives (32.7 per cent), NDP (18.2 per cent), Greens (3.3 per cent), based on 325 decided individuals. A sample of 325 respondents is accurate ±5.5 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.
• Prairies – Conservatives (47.7 per cent), Liberals (26.5 per cent), NDP (24.2 per cent), Greens (1.7 per cent), based on 222 decided individuals. A sample of 222 respondents is ±6.7 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.
• British Columbia – Conservatives (29.1 per cent), Liberals (28.9 per cent), NDP (25.0 per cent), Greens (14.9 per cent), based on 169 decided individuals. A sample of 169 respondents is accurate ±7.6 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.
Accessible Vote
When asked a series of independent questions as to whether they would vote for each federal party:
- 52.7 per cent of Canadians would consider voting for the Liberals
- 42.3 per cent of Canadians would consider voting for the NDP
- 38.1 per cent of Canadians would consider voting for the Conservatives
- 26.3 per cent of Canadians would consider voting for the Greens
- 34.3 per cent of Quebecers would consider voting for the Bloc Quebecois
Poll methodology
A national dual frame (land and cell) random telephone survey is conducted nightly by Nanos Research throughout the campaign using live agents. Each evening a new group of 400 eligible voters are interviewed. The daily tracking figures are based on a three-day rolling sample composed of 1,200 interviews. To update the tracking a new day of interviewing is added and the oldest day dropped. The margin of error for a survey of 1094 decided voters is ±3.0 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.
Full poll at .
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